Beijing uses AI to suppress Tibetan refugees in Nepal
Beijing uses AI to suppress Tibetan refugees in Nepal
Occurred: September 2025
Page published: December 2025
An advanced network of AI-enabled surveillance and facial recognition systems are being used by China to monitor and preemptively arrest Tibetan refugees in Nepal, effectively extending Beijing's domestic security apparatus beyond its borders and neutralising Nepal as a safe haven.
Reports by international human rights organisations and the Associated Press detailed the deployment of thousands of high-definition cameras equipped with AI-powered facial recognition, automatic tracking, and pattern-of-life analysis software across Kathmandu and along the Nepal-China border.
Primarily manufactured by Chinese firms Hikvision, Dahua, and Uniview, the systems often run on cloud infrastructure supported by international providers, and are used to identify Tibetan activists and refugees in real-time.
In September 2025, during periods of regional political unrest, the technology enabled Nepali police, frequently acting on intelligence shared by the Chinese Embassy, to conduct preemptive arrests of individuals identified by algorithms as "persons of concern" before they could attend protests.
Beyond physical arrests, the pervasive monitoring has created a "digital panopticon" that has stifled the Free Tibet movement in Nepal. Refugees report living in a state of constant fear, leading to "suffocation" of their cultural and religious expressions, forced displacement, and the loss of their remaining legal rights as the Nepalese government increasingly aligns its security policies with Beijing's interests.
The expansion of Chinese surveillance infrastructure into Nepal results from a combination of geopolitical influence and technology export strategies.
China offers affordable and comprehensive security systems to partner governments like Nepal’s, accompanied by training and law-enforcement support. Nepal has accepted these systems amid broader diplomatic and economic ties with Beijing, partly due to budget constraints and the appeal of low-cost technology solutions.
Chinese authorities and companies have invested in building surveillance capacity beyond their own borders as part of a broader push to export “public security” technology globally.
While China denies coercion, leaked documents and reporting suggest close operational cooperation between Chinese security officials and Nepalese police in deploying and using these systems.
The technology’s AI-driven features markedly improve the ability to monitor, classify, and intervene in social activity, intensifying control over populations deemed politically sensitive.
For Tibetan refugees: For the approximately 20,000 Tibetan refugees in Nepal, the country has transitioned from a sanctuary to a zone of heightened risk. The lack of Refugee Identification Cards (not issued since 1994) makes them legally invisible and more vulnerable to AI-facilitated deportation.
For Nepal: The integration of Chinese AI into local policing compromises Nepal’s sovereign control over its security apparatus and undermines the democratic rights of its own citizens, who are now caught in the same surveillance net.
For society: This incident serves as a global warning of "Authoritarianism-as-a-Service." It demonstrates how AI can be exported to help states suppress dissent across borders, creating a world where political refugees can no longer find safety simply by crossing a physical frontier.
Guanlan
Safe City
Developer: Dahua; Hikvision; Huawei; Uniview
Country: China; Nepal
Sector: Govt - police; Govt - security
Purpose: Detect and monitor Tibetan refugees
Technology: Anomaly detection; Behavioural analysis; Ethnicity recognition; Facial recognition; Machine learning; Predictive policing
Issue: Accountability; Fairness; Human rights/civil liberties; Privacy; Transparency
Human Rights Watch. Under China's Shadow. Mistreatment of Tibetans in Nepal
AIAAIC Repository ID: AIAAIC2170